- The largest and one of the oldest Diversified Emerging Markets ETFs has outperformed an S&P 500 index fund by 0.95% CAGR over the last 16 years
- One older Emerging Markets index mutual fund has outperformed an S&P 500 index fund by 2.57% CAGR over the last 20 years
- The Emerging Markets asset class has been the #1 or #2 best performing equity asset class in 7 of the last 15 years
- Emerging Market equities are generally riskier and more volatile.
- Diversified Emerging Markets ETFs can help investor diversify into these markets with less risk
- There are 79 ETFs available in the Morningstar category “Diversified Emerging Markets”. 12 of these funds have been available for 10 years or longer
The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) is the largest and one of the oldest available ETFs in the Emerging Markets asset class. It was launched on April 7, 2003. Since that time, EEM has had a compounded rate of return of 10.39%. An S&P 500 index fund returned 9.44% CAGR over the same period. This outperformance came with a price though, and that price is called volatility. In the case of EEM, it’s standard deviation (a measure of volatility) was 21.97% while the S&P 500 was only 13.38% (lower mean less volatility). Other ways to demonstrate how this volatility (risk) relates to performance (reward) are the Sharpe and Sortino ratios. Typically, the higher these ratios, the better the risk vs reward ratio. In the chart below, the S&P 500 funds’ Sharpe & Sortino ratios are both higher than EEM. So, with all this additional risk, why should long-term investors consider allocating part of their equity portfolio to Diversified Emerging Markets? My answer is diversification. Diversification has oft been quoted as the “only free lunch in investing”. As a long-term investor and an investment blogger, I have made it my mission to find and invest in as many different equity asset classes as possible without degrading long-term performance. Diversified Emerging Market funds can be a useful component in a worldwide equity portfolio because they have the potential to lift long-term performance while simultaneously reducing overall risk. The risk reduction can be found in this asset class’ correlation to U.S. Markets. Once again, referring to the chart below, this asset class has a correlation to U.S. Markets of 0.79. This is a favorable number, because the lower the number, the lower the correlation to U.S. Markets, so long as the asset class does not perform poorly long-term.
EEM vs S&P 500 index fund: May 2003 – March 2019
Source: https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/
EEM vs SPY: April 11, 2003 – April 21, 2019
Source: https://www.koyfin.com/home
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